Document Type
Article
Publication Date
2-2015
Publication Title
Empirical Economics
Volume
48
Abstract
In this paper, we uncover growth volatility regimes and identify their robust determinants using a large international panel of countries. In doing so, we propose a novel empirical methodology that allows us to simultaneously deal with two key elements of model uncertainty, namely theory uncertainty and parameter heterogeneity, by unifying two recent econometric techniques: Bayesian model averaging and threshold regression. We find ample evidence of parameter heterogeneity and model uncertainty. Our results highlight the role of ethnic fractionalization, institutions, financial development, health, and geography.
Issue
1
First Page
461
Last Page
491
DOI
10.1007/s00181-014-0868-9
ISSN
1435-8921
Rights
This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Empirical Economics. The final authenticated version is available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00181-014-0868-9
Recommended Citation
Andros Kourtellos, Ioanna Stylianou, and Chih Ming Tan. "Robust Multiple Regimes in Growth Volatility" (2015). Economics & Finance Faculty Publications. 3.
https://commons.und.edu/ef-fac/3