Date of Award

January 2025

Document Type

Dissertation

Degree Name

Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

Department

Energy Engineering

First Advisor

Stanley O. Tomomewo

Abstract

Geothermal energy, a renewable, clean, and abundant energy source, is gaining global attention as a key contributor to the transition towards a low-carbon economy. However, uncertainties in reservoir characterization and development risks hinder its widespread adoption, particularly in the Williston Basin. This study focuses on the Williston Basin, particularly the Red River and Deadwood formations, to explore the potential of deep geothermal reservoirs in North Dakota. The study integrates a multi-disciplinary technique in empirical, probabilistic, numerical simulation, and machine learning to reduce uncertainties and risks associated with geothermal energy exploration and development. Probabilistic methods (Parametric and Monte Carlo), incorporating geo-statistics, are employed to quantify geothermal resources and conduct uncertainty analysis. The probabilistic approach is further utilized to compare hydrothermal systems and CO2 Plume geothermal system within the deep reservoirs varying reservoir conditions. Permeability modelling, a critical factor in geothermal reservoir characterization, is evaluated utilizing multiple empirical correlations. Additionally, machine learning techniques, including supervised and unsupervised learning, are applied to abundant log data and limited core data to predict reservoir permeability, demonstrating their efficacy over traditional empirical methods. Thermal simulation of the 3D model is performed using KAPPA, a three-phase multi-component thermal and steam simulator, to assess the thermally recoverable energy in deep aquifers. Key results demonstrate significant geothermal potential in North Dakota’s deep reservoirs, with probabilistic analysis identifying critical factors influencing geothermal performance. Machine learning outperforms traditional methods in permeability prediction, reducing uncertainty. Numerical simulations confirm substantial thermally recoverable energy, highlighting the impact of geological heterogeneity on resource viability. This study highlights the untapped geothermal potential of North Dakota and the importance of an integrated approach for accurate geothermal resource assessment.

Available for download on Friday, June 05, 2026

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