Document Type

Article

Publication Date

5-2014

Publication Title

International Review of Financial Analysis

Volume

33

Abstract

We suggest a new measure of total ex-ante volatility () in stock returns, which includes traditional non-market (or idiosyncratic) risk and the unexpected component of market return. We find that the portfolio-level measure exhibits strong predictive power for the cross-section of average returns during the post-1963 period. We demonstrate that (1) the persistence of gives rise to economically significant spread in returns between value and growth stocks, and (2) the cross-sectional dispersion in stock returns is positively related to the estimated value of . The benefit of the measure is that it is countercyclical and contains relevant information about the time-variation in value premium.

First Page

253

Last Page

261

DOI

10.1016/j.irfa.2014.03.002

ISSN

1057-5219

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.

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Economics Commons

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